Match

Fiorentina vs Venezia: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze

FiorentinaVenezia

The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Venezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fiorentina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Venezia?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Fiorentina (2,070) and Venezia (1,996).

43%27%30%
Fiorentina winDrawVenezia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fiorentina vs Venezia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fiorentina

4-3-3
  1. 30Franco Mastantuono
  2. 32Mateo Pellegrino
  3. 25A. Njie
  1. 27C. Ndour
  2. 44N. Fagioli
  3. 4M. Brescianini
  1. 3R. Drăgușin
  2. 20Álex Jiménez
  3. 33Viery
  4. 17João Mário
  1. 43David de Gea

Venezia

3-5-2
  1. 45A. Adams
  2. 29L. Lauberbach
  1. 18A. Hainaut
  2. 19S. Sohm
  3. 71Kike Pérez
  4. 21Þ. Helgason
  5. 70P. Mazzocchi
  1. 2M. Moreno
  2. 15Juan Jesus
  3. 25R. Halhal
  1. 1F. Stanković

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Venezia have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fiorentina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Sassuolo(away)4-2Serie A
Oct 29, 2026Atalanta(home)2-2Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Inter(away)1-2Serie A
Oct 18, 2026Como(home)1-3Serie A
Oct 10, 2026Genoa(away)1-2Serie A
Venezia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Como(away)0-1Serie A
Oct 28, 2026Inter(home)0-2Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Genoa(away)0-1Serie A
Oct 17, 2026Napoli(home)1-0Serie A
Oct 12, 2026Atalanta(away)1-3Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Fiorentina wins, 1 draw, 2 Venezia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 11, 2026Venezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
May 12, 2025Venezia 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
Aug 25, 2024Fiorentina 0-0 VeneziaSerie A
Apr 16, 2022Fiorentina 1-0 VeneziaSerie A
Oct 18, 2021Venezia 1-0 FiorentinaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Venezia vs Fiorentina on Sep 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fiorentina score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fiorentina1.71.8211/1512/15
Venezia1.22.027/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fiorentina sit 16th in Serie A (8 points from 10 matches) and Venezia sit 20th (3 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Fiorentina1022615238
20Venezia101096203

A question about Fiorentina vs Venezia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Venezia?
The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Venezia.
Where and when is Fiorentina vs Venezia played?
Fiorentina vs Venezia is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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