Fiorentina vs Venezia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
The Footlab model makes Fiorentina the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Venezia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Venezia?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Fiorentina (2,066) and Venezia (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Venezia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fiorentina win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Venezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Fiorentina 1-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2021 | Venezia 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Venezia vs Fiorentina on May 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Venezia | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentina sit 20th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Venezia sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Venezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Venezia?
- The Footlab model makes Fiorentina the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Venezia.
- Where and when is Fiorentina vs Venezia played?
- Fiorentina vs Venezia is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.