Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
The Footlab model makes Le Havre the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Le Havre (1,890) and Stade Brestois 29 (1,938).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Le Havre win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Stade Brestois 29 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Le Havre 1-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Le Havre 0-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Le Havre 1-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Havre on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Havre sit 14th in Ligue 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | 39 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab model makes Le Havre the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Océane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.