Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
The Footlab model makes Estac Troyes the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Estac Troyes (1,956) and Strasbourg (2,004).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Strasbourg have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estac Troyes win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Strasbourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Strasbourg 2-3 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Strasbourg 1-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Strasbourg 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Estac Troyes 3-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg on May 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 2.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab model makes Estac Troyes the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg played?
- Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Aube, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.