Angers vs Rennes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
The Footlab model makes Rennes the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Angers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angers vs Rennes?
Rennes starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angers have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rennes have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Angers win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Rennes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rennes 2-1 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Angers 1-1 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Angers 0-3 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Rennes 2-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Rennes 2-1 Angers | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Rennes 4-2 Angers | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Angers score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rennes score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Rennes | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angers vs Rennes?
- The Footlab model makes Rennes the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Angers.
- Where and when is Angers vs Rennes played?
- Angers vs Rennes is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Raymond-Kopa, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.