Le Mans vs Bastia: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on August 22, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
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What was the result of Le Mans vs Bastia?
Le Mans won 1-0 on August 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′D. GuèyeLe Mans (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Mans have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bastia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2025 | Montpellier(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Quevilly(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Le Havre(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | PAU(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2025 | Caen(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2025 | Guingamp(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Grenoble(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Le Mans win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bastia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | Bastia 1-0 Le Mans | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Le Mans 1-3 Bastia | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Bastia 2-1 Le Mans | Coupe de France |
| May 4, 2012 | Le Mans 3-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2011 | Bastia 1-0 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Mans score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bastia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Mans sit 2nd in Ligue 2 (62 points from 34 matches) and Bastia sit 17th (28 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50 | 31 | 62 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy