Lecco vs Ospitaletto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ospitaletto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Ospitaletto?
Lecco starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ospitaletto have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Padova(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lecco win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ospitaletto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto 1-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Lecco 2-1 Ospitaletto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Lecco 0-1 Ospitaletto | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ospitaletto | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 10th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Ospitaletto sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Ospitaletto?
- The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ospitaletto.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Ospitaletto played?
- Lecco vs Ospitaletto is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.