Lecco vs Ospitaletto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Ospitaletto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Ospitaletto?
On Elo ratings, Lecco has 1,694 points and Ospitaletto 1,809.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecco vs Ospitaletto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 21A. Metlika
- 6A. Mallamo
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 5M. Arena
- 22T. Vettorel
Ospitaletto
4-3-3- 14F. Galuppini
- 9F. Gobbi
- 77D. Stefanoni
- 28M. Panatti
- 16M. Gualandris
- 26G. Mondini
- 4R. Nessi
- 20M. Casali
- 15P. Parmiggiani
- 3M. Possenti
- 22A. Yazıcı
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Ospitaletto have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Renate(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lecco win, 1 draw, 1 Ospitaletto win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto 1-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Lecco 2-1 Ospitaletto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Lecco 0-1 Ospitaletto | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ospitaletto score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ospitaletto | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 9 matches) and Ospitaletto sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Lecco vs Ospitaletto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Ospitaletto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Ospitaletto.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Ospitaletto played?
- Lecco vs Ospitaletto is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.