Trento vs Renate: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Briamasco, Trento
The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Renate. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trento vs Renate?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Trento (1,822) and Renate (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trento have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Renate have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Modena(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trento win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Renate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trento 3-3 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Renate 1-1 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Trento 0-0 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Renate 1-1 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Trento 1-0 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Renate 1-0 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trento | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Renate | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trento sit 6th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Renate sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trento vs Renate?
- The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Renate.
- Where and when is Trento vs Renate played?
- Trento vs Renate is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.