Treviso vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso
The Footlab model makes Treviso the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Arzignano Valchiampo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Treviso vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Treviso (1,787) and Arzignano Valchiampo (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treviso have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Arzignano Valchiampo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Vado(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 3, 2026 | Mestre(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Treviso score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treviso | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treviso sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Arzignano Valchiampo sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Treviso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Treviso vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
- The Footlab model makes Treviso the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Arzignano Valchiampo.
- Where and when is Treviso vs Arzignano Valchiampo played?
- Treviso vs Arzignano Valchiampo is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Omobono Tenni, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.