PRO Vercelli vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for PRO Vercelli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PRO Vercelli vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate PRO Vercelli (1,693) and Lecco (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PRO Vercelli have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lecco have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PRO Vercelli win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lecco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Lecco 0-2 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | PRO Vercelli 0-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Lecco 2-1 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | PRO Vercelli 3-2 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2023 | PRO Vercelli 0-2 Lecco | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Lecco 0-0 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
PRO Vercelli score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO Vercelli | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PRO Vercelli sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Lecco sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | PRO Vercelli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PRO Vercelli vs Lecco?
- The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for PRO Vercelli.
- Where and when is PRO Vercelli vs Lecco played?
- PRO Vercelli vs Lecco is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.