Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Środa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?
Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unia Swarzędz
Not enough data to predict the Unia Swarzędz lineup.
Polonia Środa
4-3-3- 7P. Mikita
- 9J. Wilczyński
- 4Jakub Kledecki
- 97F. Karmański
- 10B. Bartkowiak
- 23M. Stangel
- 15M. Pieńczak
- 38K. Gorecki
- 6Jonathan de Amo
- 2Michal Walczak
- 12M. Garstkiewicz
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Środa have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unia Swarzędz wins, 0 draws, 4 Polonia Środa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Polonia Środa 4-3 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Polonia Środa 0-1 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Polonia Środa 3-0 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Unia Swarzędz 2-0 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Polonia Środa 1-0 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Swarzędz score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Polonia Środa | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Swarzędz sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (22 points from 16 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (37 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 21 | 37 |
| 7 | Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 22 |
A question about Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Unia Swarzędz.
- Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa played?
- Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 3, 2027Elana ToruńvsKluczevia Stargard
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- Apr 3, 2027Gedania GdanskvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 3, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsLech Poznań II
- Apr 3, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsKalisz
- Apr 3, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLuzino
- Apr 3, 2027Lipno StęszewvsKotwica Kórnik