Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Polonia Środa

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,763).

Unia Swarzędz win23 %

Draw23 %

Polonia Środa win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Polonia Środa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Polonia Środa 0-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 19, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 22, 2025	Polonia Środa 3-0 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 24, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 2-0 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 7, 2024	Polonia Środa 1-0 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 8, 2023	Unia Swarzędz 1-1 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.