Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia SwarzędzPolonia Środa

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Środa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,711).

28%25%47%
Unia Swarzędz winDrawPolonia Środa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Unia Swarzędz

Not enough data to predict the Unia Swarzędz lineup.

Polonia Środa

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Mikita
  2. 9J. Wilczyński
  3. 4Jakub Kledecki
  1. 97F. Karmański
  2. 10B. Bartkowiak
  3. 23M. Stangel
  1. 15M. Pieńczak
  2. 38K. Gorecki
  3. 6Jonathan de Amo
  4. 2Michal Walczak
  1. 12M. Garstkiewicz

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Środa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Victoria Września(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Luzino(home)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(home)3-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Kalisz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unia Swarzędz wins, 0 draws, 4 Polonia Środa wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 11, 2026Polonia Środa 4-3 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 10, 2026Polonia Środa 0-1 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 19, 2025Unia Swarzędz 0-2 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 22, 2025Polonia Środa 3-0 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 24, 2024Unia Swarzędz 2-0 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 7, 2024Polonia Środa 1-0 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz on Sep 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz1.51.347/157/15
Polonia Środa2.71.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (22 points from 16 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (37 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa161141432137
7Unia Swarzędz16646262222

A question about Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa played?
Unia Swarzędz vs Polonia Środa is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unia Swarzędz and Polonia Środa

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