Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Lech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).

Unia Swarzędz win35 %

Draw23 %

Lech Poznań II win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Lech Poznań II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	5-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Lech Poznań II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Lech Poznań II 2-0 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 27, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 1-4 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 26, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 29, 2024	Lech Poznań II 3-1 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Lech Poznań II	2.1	1.9	3	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lech Poznań II	5	3	1	1	12	9	10
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Lech Poznań II is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.