Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab AI model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lech Poznan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Lech Poznan (2,096) and Sunderland (2,159).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1- 9M. Ishak
- 21Pablo Rodríguez
- 22R. Murawski
- 17A. Sayyadmanesh
- 10P. Wålemark
- 24F. Jagiełło
- 2Joel Pereira
- 15M. Gurgul
- 27W. Mońka
- 72M. Skrzypczak
- 1M. Lis
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 27N. Sadiki
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 32T. Hume
- 39M. Fofana
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 15O. Alderete
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznan score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznan sit 35th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Sunderland sit 16th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Sunderland played?
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.