Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dinamo Zagreb wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
On Elo ratings, Dinamo Zagreb has 2,090 points and NEC Nijmegen 1,995.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1- 11A. Hoxha
- 10L. Stojković
- 27J. Mišić
- 21M. Lisica
- 80L. Kačavenda
- 99M. Oršić
- 36Sergi Domínguez
- 15N. Galešić
- 26S. McKenna
- 22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
- 24D. Kotarski
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 77A. Thomas
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 21T. Storm
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
- 3P. Sandler
- 12N. Polster
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vukovar(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 2-4 | HNL |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bedem Ivankovo(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Zagreb sit 17th in UEFA Europa League (1 point from 1 match) and NEC Nijmegen sit 36th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.