OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, Heraklion
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for OFI. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (2,300 vs 2,026).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
OFI
3-4-3- 10Aitor Cantalapiedra
- 11T. Fountas
- 19K. Kodro
- 41A. Bouchalakis
- 24L. Dickmann
- 3N. Athanasiou
- 14T. Androutsos
- 15A. Poungouras
- 5K. Kostoulas
- 2K. Krizmanić
- 31N. Christogeorgos
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1- 14P. Schick
- 24Aleix García
- 19M. Diaby
- 30I. Maza
- 9Afonso Moreira
- 8R. Andrich
- 12E. Tapsoba
- 2F. Medina
- 3Miguel Gutiérrez
- 4J. Quansah
- 1M. Flekken
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFI have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 4-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Celje(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 4-0 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
OFI score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFI sit 9th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 8th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
A question about OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for OFI.
- Where and when is OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.