Leeds vs Cardiff: result 5-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 18, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of Leeds vs Cardiff?
Leeds won 5-2 on January 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 1′W. GnontoLeeds
- 34′RodrigoLeeds
- 36′W. GnontoLeeds
- 71′P. BamfordLeeds
- 76′P. BamfordLeeds
- 84′C. RobinsonCardiff
- 90′C. RobinsonCardiff (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cardiff have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Cardiff(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2023 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Newcastle(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Manchester City(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Leeds(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2023 | Blackburn(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Coventry(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2022 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Leeds win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Cardiff win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | Cardiff 2-2 Leeds | FA Cup |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Cardiff 2-0 Leeds | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Leeds 3-3 Cardiff | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Leeds 1-4 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Cardiff 3-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Leeds 0-2 Cardiff | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leeds score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Cardiff | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy