Leeds vs Derby: result 2-4 and analysis
ChampionshipPromotion Play-offs - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 15, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
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What was the result of Leeds vs Derby?
Derby won 2-4 on May 15, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 24′S. DallasLeeds
- 45′J. MarriottDerby
- 46′M. MountDerby
- 58′H. WilsonDerby (pen.)
- 62′S. DallasLeeds
- 85′J. MarriottDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2019 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| May 5, 2019 | Ipswich(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Brentford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Wigan(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2019 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 5, 2019 | West Brom(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| May 1, 2019 | Swansea(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | QPR(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leeds win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2019 | Derby 0-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2019 | Leeds 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Derby 1-4 Leeds | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2018 | Derby 2-2 Leeds | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2017 | Leeds 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Leeds 1-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leeds score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy