Leek Town vs Bootle: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1/128-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bootle the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bootle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Bootle?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,834) and Bootle (1,872).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Bootle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Bootle
Not enough data to predict the Bootle lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bootle have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Silsden(away) | 5-1 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liversedge(away) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Leek Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Bootle win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Leek Town 1-1 Bootle | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Bootle 2-0 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Leek Town 3-2 Bootle | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Bootle 0-4 Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bootle score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Bootle | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Leek Town vs Bootle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Bootle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bootle the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Bootle played?
- Leek Town vs Bootle is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.