Match

Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire

Curzon AshtonStockton Town

The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Curzon Ashton (1,710) and Stockton Town (1,782).

Curzon Ashton win35 %
Draw28 %
Stockton Town win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Stockton Town have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Curzon Ashton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Warrington Town(away)4-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026AFC Emley(away)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Bury(away)2-3Non League Premier - Northern
Stockton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Leek Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ashton United(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Curzon Ashton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Stockton Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2021Curzon Ashton 4-0 Stockton TownFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town on Sep 18, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Curzon Ashton1.31.948/1510/15
Stockton Town0.91.627/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Curzon Ashton sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Stockton Town sit 20th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Curzon Ashton62131197
20Stockton Town61144104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town?
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton.
Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town played?
Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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