Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Curzon Ashton (1,710) and Stockton Town (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Stockton Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Curzon Ashton win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Stockton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2021 | Curzon Ashton 4-0 Stockton Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town on Sep 18, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Stockton Town | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Stockton Town sit 20th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Stockton Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027BuryvsBamber Bridge
- Apr 17, 2027Alfreton TownvsQuorn
- Apr 17, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsRylands
- Apr 17, 2027Ilkeston TownvsLeek Town
- Apr 17, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsLancaster City
- Apr 17, 2027Ashton UnitedvsWorkington
- Apr 17, 2027United of ManchestervsGuiseley AFC
- Apr 17, 2027Warrington TownvsAvro