Rylands vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Arena, Warrington, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rylands vs Ashton United?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Rylands (1,822) and Ashton United (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rylands have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rylands win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ashton United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ashton United 2-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Rylands 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Ashton United 1-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Rylands 3-4 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Ashton United 0-0 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Rylands 2-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Rylands on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rylands score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylands | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rylands sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 6 matches) and Ashton United sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Rylands | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rylands vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Rylands vs Ashton United played?
- Rylands vs Ashton United is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Guiseley AFCvsRedcar Athletic
- Apr 10, 2027Hyde UnitedvsIlkeston Town
- Apr 10, 2027Leek TownvsCurzon Ashton
- Apr 10, 2027WorkingtonvsBury
- Apr 10, 2027Bamber BridgevsGainsborough Trinity
- Apr 10, 2027Lancaster CityvsUnited of Manchester
- Apr 10, 2027AvrovsCleethorpes Town
- Apr 10, 2027QuornvsWarrington Town