Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town played?

Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire

Ilkeston Town

Leek Town

The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Ilkeston Town (1,732) and Leek Town (1,777).

Ilkeston Town win38 %

Draw28 %

Leek Town win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ilkeston Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Ashton United(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Warrington Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Whitby Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Leek Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Emley(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ilkeston Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Leek Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Ilkeston Town 1-3 Leek Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 20, 2025	Leek Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Jan 4, 2025	Ilkeston Town 0-2 Leek Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 21, 2024	Leek Town 1-3 Ilkeston Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 3, 2020	Ilkeston Town 2-3 Leek Town	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Feb 22, 2020	Ilkeston Town 2-0 Leek Town	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ilkeston Town score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ilkeston Town	1.1	1.1	4	7/15	6/15
Leek Town	1.5	1.0	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ilkeston Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Leek Town sit 18th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Ilkeston Town	6	2	1	3	5	9	7
18	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town?: The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Leek Town.
Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town played?: Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.