Match

Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire

Ilkeston TownLeek Town

The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town?

Leek Town starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,633).

24%24%52%
Ilkeston Town winDrawLeek Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ilkeston Town

4-3-3
  1. OO. Brown-Hill
  2. ZZ. Goodson
  3. JJ. Watts
  1. JJack Thomas
  2. JJ. Reid
  3. BBilly Bennett
  1. JJ. Maguire
  2. KK. Fenton
  3. AA. Troke
  4. RRyan Wilson
  1. RR. Durrant

Leek Town

Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Leek Town have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ilkeston Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Hyde United(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 17, 2026Avro(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 13, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-3Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 10, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 6, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Leek Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 31, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 27, 2026Bury(away)3-5Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 24, 2026Bootle(home)4-1FA Trophy
Oct 17, 2026Lancaster City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ilkeston Town wins, 0 draws, 3 Leek Town wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Ilkeston Town 1-3 Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern
Sep 20, 2025Leek Town 1-2 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Jan 4, 2025Ilkeston Town 0-2 Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern
Sep 21, 2024Leek Town 1-3 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 3, 2020Ilkeston Town 2-3 Leek TownNon League Div One - Northern Midlands
Feb 22, 2020Ilkeston Town 2-0 Leek TownNon League Div One - Northern Midlands

Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ilkeston Town score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ilkeston Town0.72.527/159/15
Leek Town2.32.2213/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ilkeston Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 16 matches) and Leek Town sit 19th (14 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Leek Town16358313714
20Ilkeston Town164111113413

A question about Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ilkeston Town.
Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town played?
Ilkeston Town vs Leek Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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