Leek Town vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,324 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Morecambe?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,729) and Morecambe (1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Morecambe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Morecambe have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-6 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Leek Town vs Morecambe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Morecambe played?
- Leek Town vs Morecambe is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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