Whitby Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Leek Town?
Leek Town starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Whitby Town vs Leek Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Whitby Town
Not enough data to predict the Whitby Town lineup.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Leek Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Whitby Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Leek Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leek Town 1-2 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Leek Town 3-2 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Whitby Town 0-3 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Leek Town 1-2 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Whitby Town 0-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Whitby Town on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 1.5 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Leek Town | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 15 matches) and Leek Town sit 16th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 37 | 19 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 14 |
A question about Whitby Town vs Leek Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs Leek Town played?
- Whitby Town vs Leek Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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