Match

Whitby Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire

Whitby TownLeek Town

The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whitby Town vs Leek Town?

Leek Town starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,650).

Whitby Town win24 %
Draw27 %
Leek Town win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whitby Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warrington Town(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Ashton United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Leek Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Leek Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026AFC Emley(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Stockton Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026United of Manchester(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Whitby Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Whitby Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leek Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Leek Town 1-2 Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern
Apr 18, 2026Leek Town 3-2 Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 22, 2025Whitby Town 0-3 Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 15, 2025Leek Town 1-2 Whitby TownNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 19, 2024Whitby Town 0-0 Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Whitby Town on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Whitby Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whitby Town0.91.937/158/15
Leek Town1.51.059/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whitby Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Whitby Town52034106
15Leek Town5122875

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Leek Town?
The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Whitby Town.
Where and when is Whitby Town vs Leek Town played?
Whitby Town vs Leek Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Whitby Town and Leek Town

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