Match

Torrejón vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz

TorrejónRayo Vallecano II

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torrejón vs Rayo Vallecano II?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Torrejón (1,785) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,714).

Torrejón win47 %
Draw26 %
Rayo Vallecano II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Socuéllamos(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Intercity(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026Elche II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torrejón win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 8, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 1, 2025Torrejón 1-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 13, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 3-3 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 1, 2024Torrejón 3-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 28, 2024Rayo Vallecano II 1-3 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 17, 2023Torrejón 2-2 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón on Jun 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15
Rayo Vallecano II0.62.316/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Rayo Vallecano II?
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Torrejón vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
Torrejón vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torrejón and Rayo Vallecano II

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