Match

Leganés II vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés IIVillanueva Pardillo

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Villanueva Pardillo?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,803) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,726).

Leganés II win47 %
Draw27 %
Villanueva Pardillo win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Carabanchel(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Móstoles(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Racing Madrid(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Leganés II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Leganés II 1-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 19, 2025Villanueva Pardillo 0-7 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 24, 2024Leganés II 1-0 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 5, 2023Villanueva Pardillo 2-0 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Villanueva Pardillo on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leganés II34151010633355
12Villanueva Pardillo3413516394544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Villanueva Pardillo?
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Villanueva Pardillo.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
Leganés II vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leganés II and Villanueva Pardillo

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