Match

Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid

Las RozasReal Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez?

Las Rozas starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,544).

Las Rozas win52 %
Draw25 %
Real Aranjuez win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Madrid 2021 FP(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023RSC Internacional(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023Trival Valderas(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-6Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Galapagar(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Las Rozas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Aranjuez win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2023Las Rozas 0-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 20, 2022Real Aranjuez 0-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez on Mar 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15
Real Aranjuez0.62.244/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez played?
Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Las Rozas and Real Aranjuez

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