Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez?
Las Rozas starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Rozas
Not enough data to predict the Las Rozas lineup.
Real Aranjuez
4-3-3- CChiki
- JJuanito Díaz
- IIván Morcillo
- AAitor Carrillo
- CCarlitos Monzón
- CChanque
- JJuanlu
- MMario Jimeno
- GG. Spasov
- VVíctor Cartas
- TT. Robu
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Las Rozas win, 1 draw, 0 Real Aranjuez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | Las Rozas 0-0 Real Aranjuez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Real Aranjuez 0-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez on Mar 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Aranjuez | 1.1 | 2.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (14 points from 7 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 14 | Real Aranjuez | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Real Aranjuez.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez played?
- Las Rozas vs Real Aranjuez is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Leganés IIvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Apr 25, 2027Rayo Vallecano IIvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Apr 25, 2027Trival ValderasvsFuenlabrada
- Apr 25, 2027GalapagarvsUnión Adarve
- Apr 25, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsMóstoles
- Apr 25, 2027Cala PozuelovsParla Escuela
- Apr 25, 2027SS Reyes IIvsAlcobendas Sport
- Apr 25, 2027RC AlcobendasvsTorrejón