Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo
The Footlab AI model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villanueva Pardillo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Villanueva Pardillo (1,694) and Galapagar (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villanueva Pardillo
4-3-3- PPablo Sánchez Flores Casanova
- CChuky
- KKoh Ji-Soung
- RRulo Alonso
- JJorge Sánchez
- AAndrés Alcaide Jimenez
- AAnder DÃaz
- JJosele
- CCarlos Albares
- JJorge MartÃnez
- JJosé Damián Climent Requena
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Villanueva Pardillo win, 1 draw, 2 Galapagar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo 1-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Galapagar 2-1 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Villanueva Pardillo 0-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Galapagar 1-2 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Galapagar | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villanueva Pardillo sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (4 points from 7 matches) and Galapagar sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar played?
- Villanueva Pardillo vs Galapagar is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 2, 2027TorrejónvsTrival Valderas
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- May 2, 2027Real AranjuezvsRayo Vallecano II
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