Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles played?

Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia Moscardó

Móstoles

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,768) and Móstoles (1,758).

Colonia Moscardó win40 %

Draw27 %

Móstoles win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Intercity(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Navalcarnero(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Orihuela(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Getafe II(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Móstoles win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 5, 2025	Colonia Moscardó 0-2 Móstoles	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 24, 2024	Móstoles 3-1 Colonia Moscardó	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
May 26, 2024	Móstoles 1-3 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 19, 2024	Colonia Moscardó 0-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 4, 2024	Colonia Moscardó 1-4 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 17, 2023	Móstoles 2-0 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó	1.1	1.3	5	5/15	8/15
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles?: The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles played?: Colonia Moscardó vs Móstoles is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.