Where and when is Galapagar vs Unión Adarve played?

Galapagar vs Unión Adarve is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Galapagar vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

Galapagar

Unión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,727) and Unión Adarve (1,799).

Galapagar win32 %

Draw27 %

Unión Adarve win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Unión Adarve
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Galapagar(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Galapagar win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unión Adarve win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve 3-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 20, 2025	Galapagar 1-0 Unión Adarve	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Galapagar on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15
Unión Adarve	1.8	1.1	6	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (46 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Unión Adarve	34	15	8	11	48	42	53
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Unión Adarve?: The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Unión Adarve played?: Galapagar vs Unión Adarve is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.