Galapagar vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Adarve wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,739) and Unión Adarve (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Unión Adarve
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unión Adarve have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Galapagar win, 0 draws, 1 Unión Adarve win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Adarve 3-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Galapagar 1-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Galapagar on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galapagar sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 7 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Unión Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Galapagar vs Unión Adarve?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs Unión Adarve played?
- Galapagar vs Unión Adarve is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Las RozasvsReal Aranjuez
- Apr 25, 2027Leganés IIvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Apr 25, 2027Rayo Vallecano IIvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Apr 25, 2027Trival ValderasvsFuenlabrada
- Apr 25, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsMóstoles
- Apr 25, 2027Cala PozuelovsParla Escuela
- Apr 25, 2027SS Reyes IIvsAlcobendas Sport
- Apr 25, 2027RC AlcobendasvsTorrejón