Legião vs Taguatinga EC: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Augustinho Pires de Lima, Sobradinho, Distrito Federal
The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Legião. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legião vs Taguatinga EC?
Taguatinga EC starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legião have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Taguatinga EC have 5, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Real FC(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Ceilandense(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Ceilândia(home) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Capital Brasilia(away) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Legião(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Legião(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Legião(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 23, 2024 | SESP Samambaense(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Legião win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Taguatinga EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Taguatinga EC 0-1 Legião | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Legião 1-1 Taguatinga EC | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Taguatinga EC 1-0 Legião | Brasiliense B |
Last archived meeting: Taguatinga EC vs Legião on Oct 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Legião score 0.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Taguatinga EC score 2.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legião | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Taguatinga EC | 2.6 | 0.4 | 5 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legião vs Taguatinga EC?
- The Footlab model makes Taguatinga EC the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Legião.
- Where and when is Legião vs Taguatinga EC played?
- Legião vs Taguatinga EC is played on October 9, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Augustinho Pires de Lima, in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.