Luziânia vs Candango: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Zequinha Roriz, Luziânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Luziânia the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Candango. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luziânia vs Candango?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Luziânia (1,557) and Candango (1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luziânia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Candango have 1, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Candango(home) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Brasília(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | ARUC(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Brasília(away) | 0-6 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Luziânia(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Planaltina DF(home) | 0-7 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cruzeiro FC(away) | 0-5 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | GREVAL(home) | 3-4 | Brasiliense B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Luziânia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Candango win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Luziânia 2-0 Candango | Brasiliense B |
How many goals should we expect?
Luziânia score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Candango score 0.6 and concede 5.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luziânia | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Candango | 0.6 | 5.0 | 1 | 1/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luziânia vs Candango?
- The Footlab model makes Luziânia the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Candango.
- Where and when is Luziânia vs Candango played?
- Luziânia vs Candango is played on October 9, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Zequinha Roriz, in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.