Leiston vs Banbury United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Banbury United?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Leiston (1,790) and Banbury United (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Banbury United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Banbury United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Leiston 1-0 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Leiston 0-3 Banbury United | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Banbury United 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Leiston 3-0 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Banbury United 1-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Banbury United on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Banbury United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Banbury United?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Banbury United.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Banbury United played?
- Leiston vs Banbury United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026StamfordvsAlvechurch
- Dec 12, 2026StourbridgevsHitchin Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bury TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 12, 2026Redditch UnitedvsReal Bedford
- Dec 12, 2026Rushall OlympicvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 12, 2026Stratford TownvsKettering Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeamingtonvsBishop's Stortford
- Dec 12, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRacing Club Warwick