Stamford vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Zeeco Stadium, Stamford, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stamford vs Alvechurch?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Stamford (1,696) and Alvechurch (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stamford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stamford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Alvechurch 2-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stamford 0-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Stamford 1-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Alvechurch 0-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Alvechurch 4-3 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Stamford 0-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Stamford on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stamford sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (0 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stamford vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Stamford vs Alvechurch played?
- Stamford vs Alvechurch is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Zeeco Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026StourbridgevsHitchin Town
- Dec 12, 2026Bury TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 12, 2026LeistonvsBanbury United
- Dec 12, 2026Redditch UnitedvsReal Bedford
- Dec 12, 2026Rushall OlympicvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 12, 2026Stratford TownvsKettering Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeamingtonvsBishop's Stortford
- Dec 12, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRacing Club Warwick