Banbury United vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, Banbury, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banbury United vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Banbury United (1,743) and Leiston (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banbury United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Banbury United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Leiston 1-0 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Leiston 0-3 Banbury United | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Banbury United 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Leiston 3-0 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Banbury United 1-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Banbury United on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banbury United sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banbury United vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Banbury United.
- Where and when is Banbury United vs Leiston played?
- Banbury United vs Leiston is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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