Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)War Memorial Athletic Ground, Stourbridge, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Stourbridge (1,756) and Hitchin Town (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stourbridge have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stourbridge win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hitchin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Stourbridge 3-1 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Hitchin Town 1-5 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Stourbridge 0-2 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Hitchin Town 1-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Stourbridge 3-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stourbridge sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Stourbridge the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town played?
- Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at War Memorial Athletic Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026StamfordvsAlvechurch
- Dec 12, 2026Bury TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 12, 2026LeistonvsBanbury United
- Dec 12, 2026Redditch UnitedvsReal Bedford
- Dec 12, 2026Rushall OlympicvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 12, 2026Stratford TownvsKettering Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeamingtonvsBishop's Stortford
- Dec 12, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRacing Club Warwick