Worcester City vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leiston wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,781) and Leiston (1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Worcester City vs Leiston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Worcester City
Not enough data to predict the Worcester City lineup.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Leiston have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worcester City wins, 1 draw, 1 Leiston win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Leiston 1-0 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Worcester City 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Worcester City on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (7 points from 10 matches) and Leiston sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Worcester City vs Leiston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Leiston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Leiston played?
- Worcester City vs Leiston is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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