AVS vs Leixoes: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
The Footlab AI model makes AVS the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Leixoes. The most likely score is 1-1. If AVS wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AVS vs Leixoes?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate AVS (2,042) and Leixoes (2,036).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AVS vs Leixoes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AVS
4-3-3- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 30Talles Wander
- 10Keita
- 70Roni
- 78Andrey
- 80Hiago Santos
- 97Matheus Pivô
- 88F. Almeida
- 3L. Rosić
- 12L. Rivas
- 1Dani Rebollo
Leixoes
4-1-3-2- 7Salvador Agra
- 6A. Balde
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo
- 8Miguel Sousa
- 10Rafael Barbosa
- 80João Assunção
- 4Matheus Costa
- 77Paulinho
- 15Simãozinho
- 63H. Faria
- 51I. Stefanović
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AVS have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Leixoes have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sintrense(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Farense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 AVS wins, 1 draw, 1 Leixoes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Leixoes 0-0 AVS | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2024 | AVS 1-3 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
AVS score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leixoes score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Leixoes | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AVS sit 12th in Segunda Liga (9 points from 7 matches) and Leixoes sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about AVS vs Leixoes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AVS vs Leixoes?
- The Footlab AI model makes AVS the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Leixoes.
- Where and when is AVS vs Leixoes played?
- AVS vs Leixoes is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.