Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caldiero Terme win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Caldiero Terme 3-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Leon Monza e Brianza 0-0 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
- Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026PiacenzavsVirtus Verona
- Sep 13, 2026BrusaportovsTritium
- Sep 13, 2026ScanzorosciatevsReal Calepina
- Sep 13, 2026Villa VallevsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Sep 13, 2026Pro PalazzolovsMilan II
- Sep 13, 2026Rovato VertovesevsChievo
- Sep 13, 2026Nibbiano & ValtidonevsFiorenzuola
- Sep 13, 2026PavonesevsClub Milano