Match

Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero

Caldiero TermeLeon Monza e Brianza

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712).

Caldiero Terme win42 %
Draw26 %
Leon Monza e Brianza win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caldiero Terme win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Caldiero Terme 3-0 Leon Monza e BrianzaSerie D - Girone B
Sep 24, 2025Leon Monza e Brianza 0-0 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15
Leon Monza e Brianza1.41.347/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Caldiero Terme and Leon Monza e Brianza

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