Match

Tritium vs Club Milano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

TritiumClub Milano

The Footlab model makes Club Milano the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Club Milano?

Club Milano starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,545).

Tritium win28 %
Draw27 %
Club Milano win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Club Milano have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Club Milano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Asti(home)4-1Serie D - Girone A
Apr 26, 2026Sanremese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone A
Apr 19, 2026NovaRomentin(home)6-1Serie D - Girone A
Apr 12, 2026Cairese(away)1-0Serie D - Girone A
Apr 2, 2026Biellese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tritium win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Club Milano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano 1-1 TritiumSerie D - Girone B
Dec 17, 2023Tritium 0-1 Club MilanoSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Club Milano vs Tritium on Apr 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Club Milano score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tritium0.71.625/154/15
Club Milano1.61.637/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Club Milano?
The Footlab model makes Club Milano the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Tritium.
Where and when is Tritium vs Club Milano played?
Tritium vs Club Milano is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tritium and Club Milano

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