Match

Virtus Verona vs Chievo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gavagnin-Nocini, Verona

Virtus VeronaChievo

The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Virtus Verona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Virtus Verona vs Chievo?

Chievo starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,615).

Virtus Verona win26 %
Draw27 %
Chievo win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Verona have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; Chievo have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Virtus Verona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Sudtirol(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Hellas Verona(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Lumezzane(away)1-4Serie C - Girone A
Apr 19, 2026Alcione(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Chievo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026USD Casatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone B
May 10, 2026Milan II(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Pavia(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Castellanzese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Virtus Verona win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chievo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2021Chievo 1-1 Virtus VeronaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Chievo vs Virtus Verona on Jul 18, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Virtus Verona score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Virtus Verona0.91.919/158/15
Chievo1.71.549/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chievo3418610524360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Virtus Verona vs Chievo?
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Virtus Verona.
Where and when is Virtus Verona vs Chievo played?
Virtus Verona vs Chievo is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gavagnin-Nocini, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Virtus Verona and Chievo

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