Leon vs Toluca: result 3-3 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 6Kick-off on February 9, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
Full time
What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Leon and Toluca drew 3-3 on February 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′J. CádizLeon
- 24′R. EcheverríaLeon
- 50′I. ViolanteToluca
- 60′R. MoralesToluca
- 64′R. EcheverríaLeon
- 85′R. MoralesToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Toluca have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | CF Pachuca(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leon win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2022 | Leon 4-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 14th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy