Where and when is Leones de Rosario vs Fénix played?

Leones de Rosario vs Fénix is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leones de Rosario vs Fénix: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

Leones de Rosario

Fénix

The Footlab model makes Leones de Rosario the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Fénix. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Fénix?

Leones de Rosario starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,513).

Leones de Rosario win47 %

Draw32 %

Fénix win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones de Rosario have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fénix have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leones de Rosario
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Deportivo Muñiz(home)	2-1	Primera C
Aug 22, 2026	Canuelas(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 17, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Centro Español(away)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Español(away)	0-0	Primera C

Fénix
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Berazategui(away)	2-2	Primera C
Aug 10, 2026	Central Ballester(home)	3-1	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	El Porvenir(away)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 27, 2026	Yupanqui(home)	1-1	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Leones de Rosario win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fénix win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 15, 2026	Fénix 0-1 Leones de Rosario	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Fénix vs Leones de Rosario on Jun 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leones de Rosario score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fénix score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leones de Rosario	0.9	0.8	6	5/15	3/15
Fénix	1.0	0.9	4	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leones de Rosario sit 7th in Primera C (34 points from 24 matches) and Fénix sit 12th (27 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Leones de Rosario	24	8	10	6	22	21	34
12	Fénix	25	6	9	10	19	25	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leones de Rosario vs Fénix?: The Footlab model makes Leones de Rosario the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Fénix.
Where and when is Leones de Rosario vs Fénix played?: Leones de Rosario vs Fénix is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.