Match

Leones de Rosario vs Lujan: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

Leones de RosarioLujan

The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Leones de Rosario. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Lujan?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Leones de Rosario (1,630) and Lujan (1,708).

Leones de Rosario win25 %
Draw33 %
Lujan win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones de Rosario have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lujan have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leones de Rosario
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Canuelas(away)0-1Primera C
Aug 17, 2026Defensores de Cambaceres(home)2-0Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Centro Español(away)1-1Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Deportivo Español(away)0-0Primera C
Jul 25, 2026Central Cordoba(home)0-2Primera C
Lujan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Deportivo Español(away)0-0Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Lugano(away)2-1Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Central Cordoba(home)1-2Primera C
Aug 4, 2026Estrella Del Sur(away)2-0Primera C
Jul 31, 2026Claypole(away)3-1Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leones de Rosario win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lujan win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Lujan 2-0 Leones de RosarioPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Lujan vs Leones de Rosario on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leones de Rosario score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lujan score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leones de Rosario0.90.965/153/15
Lujan1.70.777/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leones de Rosario sit 7th in Primera C (34 points from 24 matches) and Lujan sit 1st (46 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lujan251375331946
7Leones de Rosario248106222134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leones de Rosario vs Lujan?
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Leones de Rosario.
Where and when is Leones de Rosario vs Lujan played?
Leones de Rosario vs Lujan is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leones de Rosario and Lujan

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