Leones de Rosario vs Lujan: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Leones de Rosario. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Lujan?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Leones de Rosario (1,630) and Lujan (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones de Rosario have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lujan have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Canuelas(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 3-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leones de Rosario win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lujan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Lujan 2-0 Leones de Rosario | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Lujan vs Leones de Rosario on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leones de Rosario score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lujan score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones de Rosario | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Lujan | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leones de Rosario sit 7th in Primera C (34 points from 24 matches) and Lujan sit 1st (46 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Leones de Rosario | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leones de Rosario vs Lujan?
- The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Leones de Rosario.
- Where and when is Leones de Rosario vs Lujan played?
- Leones de Rosario vs Lujan is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Central CordobavsClaypole
- Sep 26, 2026Atletico AtlasvsSportivo Barracas
- Sep 26, 2026CanuelasvsFénix
- Sep 26, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsJuventud Unida
- Sep 26, 2026JJ UrquizavsLeandro N. Alem
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsCentral Ballester
- Sep 26, 2026BerazateguivsSacachispas
- Sep 26, 2026Centro EspañolvsDefensores de Cambaceres