Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Levadias, Levadia
The Footlab model makes Levadiakos the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Levadiakos starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levadiakos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Asteras Tripolis have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-4 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | OFI(home) | 3-2 | Super League 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Levadiakos win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Asteras Tripolis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levadiakos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Cup |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Levadiakos 3-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Levadiakos 1-0 Asteras Tripolis | Cup |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Levadiakos 1-2 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levadiakos score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadiakos | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levadiakos sit 14th in Super League 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Asteras Tripolis sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?
- The Footlab model makes Levadiakos the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis played?
- Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Levadias, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.