Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaftanzoglio Stadio, Thessaloníki
The Footlab model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iraklis 1908. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Aris Thessalonikis starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis 1908 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aris Thessalonikis have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-4 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 3-2 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Anagennisi Karditsas(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis 1908 score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis 1908 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis 1908 sit 13th in Super League 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Iraklis 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis?
- The Footlab model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iraklis 1908.
- Where and when is Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis played?
- Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaftanzoglio Stadio, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.