Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kaftanzoglio Stadio, Thessaloníki
The Footlab AI model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iraklis 1908. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aris Thessalonikis wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Iraklis 1908 (1,928) and Aris Thessalonikis (2,025).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iraklis 1908
3-4-2-1- 43Pedro Marques
- 18R. Nizet
- 90V. Sourlis
- 30Carles Soria
- 31Nanu
- 11Ivi López
- 8N. Radoja
- 2P. Vouros
- 21Piña
- 69Y. Roche
- 33G. Athanasiadis
Aris Thessalonikis
4-2-3-1- 9T. Kadewere
- 10U. Račić
- 7B. Garré
- 18M. Hongla
- 8C. Kouamé
- 77Bruma
- 4Fabiano
- 3O. Richards
- 44B. Šutalo
- 2J. Pétris
- 33Ricardo Velho
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iraklis 1908 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Aris Thessalonikis have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-3 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(away) | 0-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 0-0 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Iraklis 1908 wins, 1 draw, 0 Aris Thessalonikis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Iraklis 1908 | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iraklis 1908 score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis 1908 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iraklis 1908 sit 9th in Super League 1 (9 points from 8 matches) and Aris Thessalonikis sit 4th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aris Thessalonikis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Iraklis 1908.
- Where and when is Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis played?
- Iraklis 1908 vs Aris Thessalonikis is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kaftanzoglio Stadio, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.