Kalamata vs Panetolikos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Messiniakos, Kalamata
The Footlab AI model makes Kalamata the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Panetolikos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kalamata wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalamata vs Panetolikos?
Kalamata starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kalamata vs Panetolikos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kalamata
4-2-3-1- 9J. Bolívar
- 24E. Hamza
- 20A. Mendes Moreira
- 23G. Piñeiro
- 6D. Diarra
- 77K. Vargas
- 17Julio Alonso
- 97Rodrigues
- 4S. Stroungis
- 22P. Kaloutsikidis
- 40N. Vasiljević
Panetolikos
4-2-3-1- 9José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
- 10A. Bassi
- 6M. Nakamba
- 90K. Opoku
- 22Diego Esteban
- 12M. Djenepo
- 35C. Mavrias
- 2G. Granath
- 8Konstantinos Thymianis
- 15Christian Manrique
- 99Y. Kucherenko
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalamata have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Panetolikos have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 0-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PAOK(home) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kalamata(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Kalamata win, 1 draw, 1 Panetolikos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Panetolikos 2-0 Kalamata | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalamata 4-2 Panetolikos | Cup |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Kalamata 2-2 Panetolikos | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Panetolikos vs Kalamata on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalamata score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Panetolikos score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Panetolikos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalamata sit 10th in Super League 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Panetolikos sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Kalamata vs Panetolikos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalamata vs Panetolikos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kalamata the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Panetolikos.
- Where and when is Kalamata vs Panetolikos played?
- Kalamata vs Panetolikos is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Messiniakos, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.