Lewes vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Lewes. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lewes win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town 2-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Lewes 0-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Chatham Town 1-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Lewes 2-0 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Lewes 0-3 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Chatham Town 3-0 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Lewes on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Chatham Town played?
- Lewes vs Chatham Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027DartfordvsCarshalton Athletic
- Mar 13, 2027LeatherheadvsAveley
- Mar 13, 2027WhitehawkvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Mar 13, 2027Brentwood TownvsDulwich Hamlet
- Mar 13, 2027RamsgatevsBurgess Hill Town
- Mar 13, 2027Three BridgesvsSt Albans City
- Mar 13, 2027CheshuntvsEastbourne Borough
- Mar 13, 2027Cray WanderersvsEnfield Town