Dartford vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Princes Park, Dartford, Kent
The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dartford vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Dartford (1,877) and Carshalton Athletic (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dartford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ashford United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Dartford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 2-2 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dartford 4-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Dartford 1-4 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 0-1 Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 20, 2021 | Carshalton Athletic 1-3 Dartford | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Dartford on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dartford score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dartford sit 5th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dartford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dartford vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Dartford the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Dartford vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Dartford vs Carshalton Athletic is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Princes Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 13, 2027Three BridgesvsSt Albans City
- Mar 13, 2027CheshuntvsEastbourne Borough
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