Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Leyton Orient (1,819) and Mansfield Town (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mansfield Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leyton Orient win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mansfield Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Leyton Orient 0-0 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Mansfield Town 4-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Mansfield Town 2-3 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Leyton Orient 3-0 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Mansfield Town 1-2 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Leyton Orient 1-0 Mansfield Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 10th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town played?
- Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.