Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mansfield Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
On Elo ratings, Mansfield Town has 1,753 points and Burton Albion 1,692.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 4E. Hewitt
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 9J. Bowery
- 1L. Roberts
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 4K. Chauke
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 6T. Sibbick
- 20J. Sraha
- 34C. Addai
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Burton Albion have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 3-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mansfield Town wins, 4 draws, 2 Burton Albion wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion 2-2 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Mansfield Town 0-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Burton Albion 1-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Mansfield Town 3-3 Burton Albion | League One |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield Town | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 11th in League One (19 points from 13 matches) and Burton Albion sit 15th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion played?
- Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.