Leyton Orient vs Oxford United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Oxford United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Oxford United?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Leyton Orient (1,819) and Oxford United (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oxford United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leyton Orient win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Oxford United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leyton Orient 2-0 Oxford United | League Cup |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Oxford United 1-2 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford United | League One |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Oxford United 5-0 Leyton Orient | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Oxford United 0-1 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Leyton Orient 2-2 Oxford United | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Oxford United on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford United score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Oxford United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 10th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Oxford United sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs Oxford United?
- The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Oxford United.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs Oxford United played?
- Leyton Orient vs Oxford United is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.